TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 1:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gokberk Saritas and Nemanja Sapic in the M15 Kursumlijska Banja, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 12:04PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gokberk Saritas' if Gokberk Saritas advances against Nemanja Sapic. This market will resolve to 'Nemanja Sapic' if Nemanja Sapic advances against Gokberk Saritas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gokberk Saritas and Nemanja Sapic in the M15 Kursumlijska Banja, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 12:04PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gokberk Saritas' if Gokberk Saritas advances against Nemanja Sapic. This market will resolve to 'Nemanja Sapic' if Nemanja Sapic advances against Gokberk Saritas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the decentralized nature of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytical models and risk management, prediction markets reflect the aggregated beliefs of participants, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing. Traders on Polymarket set probabilities based on their own research and expectations, sometimes producing outcomes that diverge from mainstream sportsbook favorites, especially when new data emerges close to the match date.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders manually set the odds through buying and selling shares, creating a dynamic price that reflects the balance of supply and demand. The current top outcome’s probability is displayed as a percentage, derived from the market’s last traded price. This mechanism allows rapid adjustments in response to news, player injuries, or weather conditions that might impact the match. The market’s price history can be viewed as a chart, showing how expectations have shifted over time.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market status accordingly. Traders can track the approaching resolution date on the dashboard, which provides a clear timeline for when bets will be settled based on the match’s final result.
Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before it resolves. Key factors include player injuries, changes in form or performance leading up to the match, weather conditions on the day of the event, and any last-minute strategic adjustments by coaches or teams. Additionally, betting trends on Polymarket—such as large trades or sudden shifts in volume—can also influence prices, reflecting changing trader sentiment as the match approaches. Media coverage and pre-match analyst predictions may also contribute to market movement.