TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 10:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Fedor Sosedkin and Richard Lacis in the M15 Kursumlijska Banja, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fedor Sosedkin' if Fedor Sosedkin advances against Richard Lacis. This market will resolve to 'Richard Lacis' if Richard Lacis advances against Fedor Sosedkin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Fedor Sosedkin and Richard Lacis in the M15 Kursumlijska Banja, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fedor Sosedkin' if Fedor Sosedkin advances against Richard Lacis. This market will resolve to 'Richard Lacis' if Richard Lacis advances against Fedor Sosedkin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, biases, or simply the unique dynamics of each venue. If sportsbooks heavily favor one player, but this market shows a more even split, it suggests traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of the outcome. Observing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of participants regarding the Sosedkin vs Lacis match.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Kursumlijska Banja match between Fedor Sosedkin and Richard Lacis. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 9, 2026. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes to their training regimens could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could drive trading activity and alter the implied probabilities. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.