TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 5:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Erkut Aydin and Antoni Fabre in the M15 Kursumlijska Banja, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Erkut Aydin' if Erkut Aydin advances against Antoni Fabre. This market will resolve to 'Antoni Fabre' if Antoni Fabre advances against Erkut Aydin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Erkut Aydin and Antoni Fabre in the M15 Kursumlijska Banja, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Erkut Aydin' if Erkut Aydin advances against Antoni Fabre. This market will resolve to 'Antoni Fabre' if Antoni Fabre advances against Erkut Aydin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market relies on individuals freely expressing their beliefs. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there’s significant uncertainty or inside information not yet reflected in sportsbook lines. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities and can be influenced by various factors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions, and the price movements provide signals about potential shifts in sentiment regarding the Aydin vs Fabre match.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Kursumlijska Banja match between Erkut Aydin and Antoni Fabre. This includes confirming the winner of the match, or if a draw occurs. The platform will rely on established sports news sources and official tournament results to determine the final outcome and settle the market accordingly.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements from either player could significantly impact the perceived likelihood of each outcome. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in public opinion, could also drive price movements. Monitoring sports news, expert analysis, and overall trading volume will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Sep 10, 2026 resolution.