TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 5:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandre Aubriot and Egor Shcherbakov in the M15 Kursumlijska Banja, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Aubriot' if Alexandre Aubriot advances against Egor Shcherbakov. This market will resolve to 'Egor Shcherbakov' if Egor Shcherbakov advances against Alexandre Aubriot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandre Aubriot and Egor Shcherbakov in the M15 Kursumlijska Banja, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Aubriot' if Alexandre Aubriot advances against Egor Shcherbakov. This market will resolve to 'Egor Shcherbakov' if Egor Shcherbakov advances against Alexandre Aubriot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market aims to represent the true probability of an event as assessed by traders. Often, prediction markets aggregate information from a wider range of sources and expert opinions, potentially leading to more accurate predictions. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management strategies, which may differ from the dynamics at play in this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Aubriot vs Shcherbakov match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Kursumlijska Banja match between Alexandre Aubriot and Egor Shcherbakov. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and reliable sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements from either player’s camp could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring these players, or broader trends in the tournament, could also impact the market. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could trigger price movements, reflecting new information or a change in overall market perception regarding the Aubriot vs Shcherbakov match.