TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 4:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergey Petrov and Aaron Funk in the M15 Hurghada, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergey Petrov' if Sergey Petrov advances against Aaron Funk. This market will resolve to 'Aaron Funk' if Aaron Funk advances against Sergey Petrov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergey Petrov and Aaron Funk in the M15 Hurghada, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergey Petrov' if Sergey Petrov advances against Aaron Funk. This market will resolve to 'Aaron Funk' if Aaron Funk advances against Sergey Petrov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs. If there's a significant discrepancy, it can indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It's important to note that prediction markets often have lower transaction costs than sportsbooks, potentially leading to more efficient price discovery for the Petrov vs Funk match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Petrov vs Funk match. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher probability. Conversely, selling shares drives the price down. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Hurghada match between Sergey Petrov and Aaron Funk, as reported by the official tournament organizers. The market will determine which competitor ultimately wins the match. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 18, 2026. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in their coaching strategies could shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the Petrov vs Funk match might also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, significant trading volume driven by informed bettors or large-scale predictions could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves in the days leading up to the event.