TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 7:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Raffael Gasanov and Keshav Chopra in the M15 Hurghada, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raffael Gasanov' if Raffael Gasanov advances against Keshav Chopra. This market will resolve to 'Keshav Chopra' if Keshav Chopra advances against Raffael Gasanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Raffael Gasanov and Keshav Chopra in the M15 Hurghada, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raffael Gasanov' if Raffael Gasanov advances against Keshav Chopra. This market will resolve to 'Keshav Chopra' if Keshav Chopra advances against Raffael Gasanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, which can lead to odds that diverge from those offered by sportsbooks. It’s common to see differences, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, offering opportunities for arbitrage or simply a different way to assess the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive market. The current price indicates the collective forecast of the traders on Polymarket regarding the result of the Gasanov vs Chopra match.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Gasanov vs Chopra match, as reported by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The process aims to provide a transparent and reliable resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 23, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical adjustments could also cause significant shifts in the odds. Public sentiment, reflected in social media discussions and expert opinions, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements.