TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 9:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Prasad Ingale and Paul Jubb in the M15 Hurghada, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Prasad Ingale' if Prasad Ingale advances against Paul Jubb. This market will resolve to 'Paul Jubb' if Paul Jubb advances against Prasad Ingale. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Prasad Ingale and Paul Jubb in the M15 Hurghada, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Prasad Ingale' if Prasad Ingale advances against Paul Jubb. This market will resolve to 'Paul Jubb' if Paul Jubb advances against Prasad Ingale. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to differences, particularly when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets, like this one, aggregate information from a wider range of sources and potentially identify mispricings that sportsbooks haven’t yet corrected. Examining both can offer a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information and changing opinions among traders. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will increase its price, indicating a greater perceived likelihood of that outcome. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Hurghada tennis match between Prasad Ingale and Paul Jubb. The platform will verify the winner of the match against established tennis data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament involving similar players might also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, real-time updates during the match itself, such as a player struggling with their serve or displaying signs of fatigue, could trigger rapid price movements. Monitoring tennis news and live scores will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.