TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 4:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marat Salbiev and Chirag Duhan in the M15 Hurghada, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marat Salbiev' if Marat Salbiev advances against Chirag Duhan. This market will resolve to 'Chirag Duhan' if Chirag Duhan advances against Marat Salbiev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marat Salbiev and Chirag Duhan in the M15 Hurghada, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marat Salbiev' if Marat Salbiev advances against Chirag Duhan. This market will resolve to 'Chirag Duhan' if Chirag Duhan advances against Marat Salbiev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate forecasters of event outcomes, as they aggregate diverse viewpoints and incentivize accurate predictions. However, sportsbooks may react to the movement in this market, and vice versa.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each possible result in the Salbiev vs Duhan match. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Salbiev vs Duhan match as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to their shareholding in the winning outcome, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before Sep 11, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either Marat Salbiev or Chirag Duhan would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Updates on their training regimens, pre-match interviews revealing strategy, or changes in their physical condition could also influence trader behavior. Furthermore, any significant analysis from boxing experts or changes in public sentiment could drive volume and price movement. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the match will be closely monitored by traders on Polymarket.