TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 4:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Lorusso and Aleksandre Bakshi in the M15 Hurghada, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Lorusso' if Lorenzo Lorusso advances against Aleksandre Bakshi. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandre Bakshi' if Aleksandre Bakshi advances against Lorenzo Lorusso. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Lorusso and Aleksandre Bakshi in the M15 Hurghada, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Lorusso' if Lorenzo Lorusso advances against Aleksandre Bakshi. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandre Bakshi' if Aleksandre Bakshi advances against Lorenzo Lorusso. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and ensure profit, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. If a significant amount of money is wagered on one outcome, the odds will shift accordingly, potentially signaling information not yet fully incorporated by sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, analytical approaches, and risk tolerance among participants in each venue. It's common to see this market converge with sportsbook odds as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hurghada tennis match between Lorenzo Lorusso and Aleksandre Bakshi, as determined by the official tournament organizers. The market will settle to 100% for the winning player, and 0% for the losing player. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome and their holdings in the market at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, might also have an impact. Major shifts in betting volume, even without specific news, can also drive price movements as traders react to each other's actions. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.