TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 5:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Karim El Feky and Maurice-Noel Kaserer in the M15 Hurghada, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karim El Feky' if Karim El Feky advances against Maurice-Noel Kaserer. This market will resolve to 'Maurice-Noel Kaserer' if Maurice-Noel Kaserer advances against Karim El Feky. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Karim El Feky and Maurice-Noel Kaserer in the M15 Hurghada, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karim El Feky' if Karim El Feky advances against Maurice-Noel Kaserer. This market will resolve to 'Maurice-Noel Kaserer' if Maurice-Noel Kaserer advances against Karim El Feky. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Hurghada tennis match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice-versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and reflects their aggregate forecast. The current price reflects the collective assessment of the players’ chances.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Hurghada tennis match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The winning player will be determined by the official score, and this information will be used to settle the market. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those who bet on the losing outcome will forfeit their shares. The market’s final price will reflect the actual result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role, potentially affecting player performance. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting patterns on Polymarket, could drive price movements. Finally, any updates on the players' strategies or coaching changes could also impact the market, as traders adjust their expectations based on new information.