TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 1:19 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Pablo Jaramillo and Ali Alshati in the M15 Hurghada, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Jaramillo' if Juan Pablo Jaramillo advances against Ali Alshati. This market will resolve to 'Ali Alshati' if Ali Alshati advances against Juan Pablo Jaramillo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Pablo Jaramillo and Ali Alshati in the M15 Hurghada, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Jaramillo' if Juan Pablo Jaramillo advances against Ali Alshati. This market will resolve to 'Ali Alshati' if Ali Alshati advances against Juan Pablo Jaramillo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each player winning. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price converges towards what the collective believes is the true probability. The current price indicates the market's assessment of each player's chances, and fluctuations in price signal shifts in sentiment based on new information or trading activity.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Hurghada tennis match between Juan Pablo Jaramillo and Ali Alshati. The player officially declared the winner by the tournament organizers will determine the outcome of this market. Any protests or appeals must be resolved before the outcome is finalized and reported for settlement.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament could significantly shift the odds. Furthermore, expert analysis released before the match, or even social media sentiment, could impact trader behavior. A strong performance by either player in a preceding match, or even reports of strategic adjustments, could cause a notable movement in the market price as traders reassess their predictions.