TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 10:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Henrik Thomas Neuss and Daniil Varaksa in the M15 Hurghada, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henrik Thomas Neuss' if Henrik Thomas Neuss advances against Daniil Varaksa. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Varaksa' if Daniil Varaksa advances against Henrik Thomas Neuss. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Henrik Thomas Neuss and Daniil Varaksa in the M15 Hurghada, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henrik Thomas Neuss' if Henrik Thomas Neuss advances against Daniil Varaksa. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Varaksa' if Daniil Varaksa advances against Henrik Thomas Neuss. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each player winning. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares of a particular player, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market constantly adjusts to new information and evolving sentiment regarding the Hurghada tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hurghada tennis match between Henrik Thomas Neuss and Daniil Varaksa. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results to determine which outcome resolves positively. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome, based on the actual result of the sporting event.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even social media commentary from tennis analysts, might also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each player's chances of winning could lead to significant price fluctuations in this market.