TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 7:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Darsh Agarwal and Finn Reilly in the M15 Hurghada, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darsh Agarwal' if Darsh Agarwal advances against Finn Reilly. This market will resolve to 'Finn Reilly' if Finn Reilly advances against Darsh Agarwal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Darsh Agarwal and Finn Reilly in the M15 Hurghada, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darsh Agarwal' if Darsh Agarwal advances against Finn Reilly. This market will resolve to 'Finn Reilly' if Finn Reilly advances against Darsh Agarwal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a unit of outcome, essentially forecasting the chance of it happening. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Darsh Agarwal vs Finn Reilly match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Darsh Agarwal or Finn Reilly, or changes in playing conditions could shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about strategy or team composition could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, analysis from tennis experts or updated rankings could lead to a reassessment of each player’s chances. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments might also indirectly affect the perceived probabilities, causing fluctuations in the price of shares until the event takes place.