TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:31 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Varaksa and Jonah Haidarian in the M15 Hurghada, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Varaksa' if Daniil Varaksa advances against Jonah Haidarian. This market will resolve to 'Jonah Haidarian' if Jonah Haidarian advances against Daniil Varaksa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Varaksa and Jonah Haidarian in the M15 Hurghada, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Varaksa' if Daniil Varaksa advances against Jonah Haidarian. This market will resolve to 'Jonah Haidarian' if Jonah Haidarian advances against Daniil Varaksa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or a central authority setting the odds.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hurghada tennis match between Daniil Varaksa and Jonah Haidarian, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The player declared the winner by the official tournament organizers will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could shift traders' perceptions of each player's chances of winning. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the Hurghada event might also affect confidence in a player’s overall performance. Significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could also cause noticeable price movements, reflecting a change in market sentiment regarding the outcome of the match.