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OPEN INTEREST:
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400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 4:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Conor Gannon and Lorenzo Lorusso in the M15 Hurghada, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Conor Gannon' if Conor Gannon advances against Lorenzo Lorusso. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Lorusso' if Lorenzo Lorusso advances against Conor Gannon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Conor Gannon and Lorenzo Lorusso in the M15 Hurghada, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Conor Gannon' if Conor Gannon advances against Lorenzo Lorusso. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Lorusso' if Lorenzo Lorusso advances against Conor Gannon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like house edges and public betting biases, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one competitor, but this market shows a more balanced probability distribution, it could indicate disagreement with the conventional wisdom. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources or analytical approaches. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into the potential for profitable trading opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates information from all participants, leading to a dynamically adjusted probability assessment. This differs from fixed-odds betting, as the odds constantly evolve based on supply and demand for shares.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the M15 Hurghada match between Conor Gannon and Lorenzo Lorusso. The platform will rely on publicly available sources to determine the winner or if the match resulted in a draw. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution. The platform ensures a transparent and verifiable process for determining the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments surrounding the Gannon vs Lorusso match is crucial for understanding potential market shifts.