TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 3:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Conor Gannon and Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli in the M15 Hurghada, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Conor Gannon' if Conor Gannon advances against Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli' if Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli advances against Conor Gannon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Conor Gannon and Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli in the M15 Hurghada, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Conor Gannon' if Conor Gannon advances against Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli' if Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli advances against Conor Gannon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing a player’s chances, the prediction market odds will adjust accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before major events or when new information emerges, offering potential arbitrage opportunities for informed bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the players’ chances in the Hurghada tennis match. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the Hurghada tennis match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result announced by the tournament organizers will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for the definitive result, as that will trigger the settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or even strategic announcements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even commentary from tennis analysts, could also impact the market. A strong performance by either player in a practice session, or a shift in public perception, could all contribute to movement in the odds until the final result is known.