TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 5:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Brian Dal Zilio and Aleksandre Shvangiradze in the M15 Hurghada, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Brian Dal Zilio' if Brian Dal Zilio advances against Aleksandre Shvangiradze. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandre Shvangiradze' if Aleksandre Shvangiradze advances against Brian Dal Zilio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Brian Dal Zilio and Aleksandre Shvangiradze in the M15 Hurghada, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Brian Dal Zilio' if Brian Dal Zilio advances against Aleksandre Shvangiradze. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandre Shvangiradze' if Aleksandre Shvangiradze advances against Brian Dal Zilio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money bets, incentivizing participants to be accurate in their predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's potential results. The current top outcome, as indicated by share price, is the one with the highest implied probability.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Hurghada match between Brian Dal Zilio and Aleksandre Shvangiradze. The platform will identify the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. The exact timing of the resolution may depend on the speed at which official results are published.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one particular outcome – could cause the odds to adjust rapidly. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, might also play a role, though the market is ultimately driven by actual trading volume.