TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 7:37 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andriy Poritskyy and Vishal Gautam in the M15 Hurghada, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andriy Poritskyy' if Andriy Poritskyy advances against Vishal Gautam. This market will resolve to 'Vishal Gautam' if Vishal Gautam advances against Andriy Poritskyy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andriy Poritskyy and Vishal Gautam in the M15 Hurghada, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andriy Poritskyy' if Andriy Poritskyy advances against Vishal Gautam. This market will resolve to 'Vishal Gautam' if Vishal Gautam advances against Andriy Poritskyy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If there's a significant discrepancy, it may indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn't yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It's common to see convergence as the event approaches, but differences can persist due to varying information access and analytical approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. Higher demand for shares in a particular player will drive up the price, indicating increased confidence in their chances of winning the Hurghada tennis match. The current market price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the Hurghada tennis match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the tournament organizers. The market will determine which player ultimately won the match, and shares will be redeemed accordingly. This allows traders to profit if their prediction aligns with the actual result, and provides a transparent record of market sentiment leading up to the event’s conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even commentary from tennis analysts, might also cause price fluctuations. A strong performance by one player in a practice session or a pre-match interview could also impact the market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Hurghada tennis match has the potential to move the market.