TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 9:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andriy Poritskyy and Maximilian Heidlmair in the M15 Hurghada, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andriy Poritskyy' if Andriy Poritskyy advances against Maximilian Heidlmair. This market will resolve to 'Maximilian Heidlmair' if Maximilian Heidlmair advances against Andriy Poritskyy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andriy Poritskyy and Maximilian Heidlmair in the M15 Hurghada, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andriy Poritskyy' if Andriy Poritskyy advances against Maximilian Heidlmair. This market will resolve to 'Maximilian Heidlmair' if Maximilian Heidlmair advances against Andriy Poritskyy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome, and the price of these shares reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to represent the collective prediction. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is influenced by factors like player form, head-to-head records, and any news regarding injuries or playing conditions. The current price indicates the implied probability of a particular player winning, as determined by the traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hurghada tennis match, specifically which player wins. Any potential delays or postponements of the match may affect the resolution timeline, but the outcome will always be determined by the official result as reported by recognized tennis authorities. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing surface conditions, or unexpected weather forecasts could shift the odds. A strong performance by either player in a preceding tournament could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, any updates on player strategies or coaching changes might lead to adjustments in the market price. Unexpected retirements or withdrawals from the match would also have a substantial effect, immediately resolving the market in favor of the remaining player.