TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 3:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aditya Balsekar and Aleksandre Bakshi in the M15 Hurghada, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aditya Balsekar' if Aditya Balsekar advances against Aleksandre Bakshi. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandre Bakshi' if Aleksandre Bakshi advances against Aditya Balsekar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aditya Balsekar and Aleksandre Bakshi in the M15 Hurghada, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aditya Balsekar' if Aditya Balsekar advances against Aleksandre Bakshi. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandre Bakshi' if Aleksandre Bakshi advances against Aditya Balsekar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. The market's efficiency depends on the volume of trading and the diversity of opinions represented among the traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hurghada tennis match between Aditya Balsekar and Aleksandre Bakshi. The platform will verify the winner based on official tournament results and reporting, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the market’s outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 10, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (such as weather), or updates on player form could all shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament upsets, could also impact the perceived probabilities. Any significant information that alters the assessment of either player's chances of winning is likely to cause movement in this market, as traders adjust their positions accordingly.