TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 7:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aaron Funk and Essa Qabazard in the M15 Hurghada, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aaron Funk' if Aaron Funk advances against Essa Qabazard. This market will resolve to 'Essa Qabazard' if Essa Qabazard advances against Aaron Funk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aaron Funk and Essa Qabazard in the M15 Hurghada, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aaron Funk' if Aaron Funk advances against Essa Qabazard. This market will resolve to 'Essa Qabazard' if Essa Qabazard advances against Aaron Funk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how the wisdom of the crowd differs from professional oddsmakers. Often, prediction markets can offer different probabilities, especially when there’s disagreement or incomplete information available to the public. Sportsbooks may factor in biases or specific team knowledge, while this market reflects the collective beliefs of a diverse group of traders. Significant discrepancies can sometimes present opportunities for arbitrage, though those are often quickly exploited by market participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price discovery process is driven by supply and demand, meaning that high demand for a particular outcome will drive up its price, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Hurghada match between Aaron Funk and Essa Qabazard. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to determine the winner of the match. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market leading up to Sep 23, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in prior matches, or even weather conditions affecting the playing surface, could also influence the odds. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in social media or sports news coverage, can also drive trading activity and alter the market’s price. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the players' chances of winning could cause movement.