TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.4b
24H VOL:
$197,737,781
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,799,378,420
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,429,404
513,470
Markets across
38,037
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,828
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 14, 9:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Petros Tsitsipas and Rodrigo Alujas in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petros Tsitsipas' if Petros Tsitsipas advances against Rodrigo Alujas. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Alujas' if Rodrigo Alujas advances against Petros Tsitsipas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Petros Tsitsipas and Rodrigo Alujas in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petros Tsitsipas' if Petros Tsitsipas advances against Rodrigo Alujas. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Alujas' if Rodrigo Alujas advances against Petros Tsitsipas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the likely result of the Tsitsipas vs Alujas match.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tsitsipas vs Alujas match, as determined by the official tournament organizers. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the match progresses and the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 20, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even pre-match analysis from tennis experts could all shift sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament could also impact the perceived probabilities. Any significant development affecting the players’ form or chances of winning is likely to be reflected in the market price, as traders adjust their positions based on new information.