TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 5:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sam Bakker and Amaury Raynel in the M15 Haren, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sam Bakker' if Sam Bakker advances against Amaury Raynel. This market will resolve to 'Amaury Raynel' if Amaury Raynel advances against Sam Bakker. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sam Bakker and Amaury Raynel in the M15 Haren, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sam Bakker' if Sam Bakker advances against Amaury Raynel. This market will resolve to 'Amaury Raynel' if Amaury Raynel advances against Sam Bakker. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs through trading. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise in understanding differing viewpoints on the likely outcome of the Bakker vs Raynel match, though it's important to remember they represent different forms of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Bakker vs Raynel match. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the market’s collective assessment of the likelihood of each player winning.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Bakker vs Raynel match as declared by the governing sporting body. The market will determine which player is the official winner, and shares will pay out accordingly. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information and established sporting results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on training regimes could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even pre-match interviews with the players could also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations regarding the Bakker vs Raynel match, leading to price adjustments and increased volatility.