TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 6:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lilian Marmousez and Amadatus Admiraal in the M15 Haren, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilian Marmousez' if Lilian Marmousez advances against Amadatus Admiraal. This market will resolve to 'Amadatus Admiraal' if Amadatus Admiraal advances against Lilian Marmousez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lilian Marmousez and Amadatus Admiraal in the M15 Haren, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilian Marmousez' if Lilian Marmousez advances against Amadatus Admiraal. This market will resolve to 'Amadatus Admiraal' if Amadatus Admiraal advances against Lilian Marmousez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all participants trading on Polymarket regarding the Haren tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Haren tennis match between Lilian Marmousez and Amadatus Admiraal. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning player and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official tennis reporting for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before the Sep 9, 2026 resolution. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to either Lilian Marmousez or Amadatus Admiraal, such as a withdrawal or a significant performance in a preceding match, would likely cause noticeable price movements. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning could impact the market.