TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:47 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Victor BARRERE and Matiej Reiter in the M15 Forbach, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Victor BARRERE' if Victor BARRERE advances against Matiej Reiter. This market will resolve to 'Matiej Reiter' if Matiej Reiter advances against Victor BARRERE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Victor BARRERE and Matiej Reiter in the M15 Forbach, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Victor BARRERE' if Victor BARRERE advances against Matiej Reiter. This market will resolve to 'Matiej Reiter' if Matiej Reiter advances against Victor BARRERE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook odds, especially when there’s significant public interest and information available. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing risk assessments and the influence of various biases within each system. It's always useful to compare to see where the differences lie.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Barrere vs. Reiter match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more the price will reflect the perceived likelihood of each player winning. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the market's accuracy, as more capital is at stake. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, leading to dynamic price movements.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the Barrere vs. Reiter match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will then determine the winning shares and distribute payouts accordingly. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s established procedures.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even unexpected weather events could significantly shift trader sentiment. Updates on player form, recent match results, and head-to-head records will also be closely watched. Major shifts in public opinion, potentially driven by expert analysis or social media buzz, could also impact trading activity. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to move this market.