TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 10:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tom Zeuch and Lars Wagenaar in the M15 Forbach, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tom Zeuch' if Tom Zeuch advances against Lars Wagenaar. This market will resolve to 'Lars Wagenaar' if Lars Wagenaar advances against Tom Zeuch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tom Zeuch and Lars Wagenaar in the M15 Forbach, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tom Zeuch' if Tom Zeuch advances against Lars Wagenaar. This market will resolve to 'Lars Wagenaar' if Lars Wagenaar advances against Tom Zeuch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an outcome as assessed by traders. Therefore, this market may present odds that differ from those offered elsewhere. It's common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks in accuracy, as they benefit from the wisdom of the crowd and the incentive for participants to be correct in their predictions. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will depend on the official result of the Forbach tennis match between Tom Zeuch and Lars Wagenaar. Specifically, the market will determine which player won the match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. The final outcome will be based on the official match results as reported by governing tennis authorities.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role, potentially impacting player performance. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could indicate a change in market sentiment. Finally, any public statements or analysis from tennis experts could sway traders' opinions and lead to price fluctuations in this market.