TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 8:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Stefan Seifert and Daniel De Jonge in the M15 Forbach, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefan Seifert' if Stefan Seifert advances against Daniel De Jonge. This market will resolve to 'Daniel De Jonge' if Daniel De Jonge advances against Stefan Seifert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Stefan Seifert and Daniel De Jonge in the M15 Forbach, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefan Seifert' if Stefan Seifert advances against Daniel De Jonge. This market will resolve to 'Daniel De Jonge' if Daniel De Jonge advances against Stefan Seifert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Forbach tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what the market believes is the fair probability of Stefan Seifert defeating Daniel De Jonge, based on the collective actions of traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Forbach tennis match between Stefan Seifert and Daniel De Jonge. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites or sports news outlets. The market will then settle, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when this market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role, potentially favoring one player over the other. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants or large-scale bets could indicate a shift in market sentiment. Finally, any updates on the players’ head-to-head record or playing styles could also impact the probabilities reflected in this market.