TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 11:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pietro Mugelli and Alberto Morolli in the M15 Forbach, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pietro Mugelli' if Pietro Mugelli advances against Alberto Morolli. This market will resolve to 'Alberto Morolli' if Alberto Morolli advances against Pietro Mugelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pietro Mugelli and Alberto Morolli in the M15 Forbach, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pietro Mugelli' if Pietro Mugelli advances against Alberto Morolli. This market will resolve to 'Alberto Morolli' if Alberto Morolli advances against Pietro Mugelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to differences, particularly when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. If a large number of people believe a particular player will win, the odds on Polymarket may shift more dramatically than at a sportsbook. It’s important to compare these odds to understand where the discrepancies lie and what insights each offers.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Forbach tennis match between Pietro Mugelli and Alberto Morolli. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources such as official tournament results and sports news outlets. The outcome will be determined by which player is officially declared the winner of the match. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or even significant shifts in public perception could all impact the price of shares. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy could also move the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, causing a rapid adjustment in the odds. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves before it resolves.