TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 7:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Boutleux and Mac Visser in the M15 Forbach, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Boutleux' if Noah Boutleux advances against Mac Visser. This market will resolve to 'Mac Visser' if Mac Visser advances against Noah Boutleux. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Boutleux and Mac Visser in the M15 Forbach, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Boutleux' if Noah Boutleux advances against Mac Visser. This market will resolve to 'Mac Visser' if Mac Visser advances against Noah Boutleux. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, the prediction market odds may move in the opposite direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before substantial betting activity occurs in either venue, as information asymmetry plays a role.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought, the higher the price, and vice versa, dynamically adjusting the implied probability. This creates a real-time assessment of the event's potential results based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Forbach tennis match between Noah Boutleux and Mac Visser. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could cause the odds to move. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also impact trading activity. Major announcements related to the tournament itself, or even weather forecasts affecting the match schedule, are potential catalysts for price fluctuations.