TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 10:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Laurens Harnoth Manrubia and Robin Eldin in the M15 Forbach, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Laurens Harnoth Manrubia' if Laurens Harnoth Manrubia advances against Robin Eldin. This market will resolve to 'Robin Eldin' if Robin Eldin advances against Laurens Harnoth Manrubia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Laurens Harnoth Manrubia and Robin Eldin in the M15 Forbach, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Laurens Harnoth Manrubia' if Laurens Harnoth Manrubia advances against Robin Eldin. This market will resolve to 'Robin Eldin' if Robin Eldin advances against Laurens Harnoth Manrubia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Forbach tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of a share represents the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. Volume and open interest also play a role, indicating the strength of conviction behind each prediction.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Laurens Harnoth Manrubia vs Robin Eldin tennis match in Forbach. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players might also influence the perceived probability of either player winning. Furthermore, any public statements from the players themselves or their coaches could move the market. Monitoring tennis news and analysis leading up to Sep 28, 2026 will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could affect the outcome of this market.