TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 8:53 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gray Voelzke and Lars Wagenaar in the M15 Forbach, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gray Voelzke' if Gray Voelzke advances against Lars Wagenaar. This market will resolve to 'Lars Wagenaar' if Lars Wagenaar advances against Gray Voelzke. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gray Voelzke and Lars Wagenaar in the M15 Forbach, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gray Voelzke' if Gray Voelzke advances against Lars Wagenaar. This market will resolve to 'Lars Wagenaar' if Lars Wagenaar advances against Gray Voelzke. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin for themselves. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as new information emerges. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as sportsbooks may be influenced by public betting patterns or promotional considerations, while this market reflects a more rational assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the tennis match between Gray Voelzke and Lars Wagenaar. The platform will verify the match result against widely available sources to determine the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could temporarily impact the odds. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing player statistics will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.