TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 2:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Flynn Thomas and Theo Herrmann in the M15 Forbach, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Flynn Thomas' if Flynn Thomas advances against Theo Herrmann. This market will resolve to 'Theo Herrmann' if Theo Herrmann advances against Flynn Thomas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Flynn Thomas and Theo Herrmann in the M15 Forbach, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Flynn Thomas' if Flynn Thomas advances against Theo Herrmann. This market will resolve to 'Theo Herrmann' if Theo Herrmann advances against Flynn Thomas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, reflecting the evolving expectations of traders. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are always up-to-date and responsive to the latest developments.
This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Forbach tennis match between Flynn Thomas and Theo Herrmann, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. The market will then settle, and winning shares will be redeemable for the corresponding payout based on the final odds at resolution.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategy or coaching changes might also have an impact. Furthermore, significant trading activity itself can move the market, as large buy or sell orders can influence the price of shares. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential shifts in the perceived probability of each player winning.