TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 10:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Bienvenue Bolangi and Laurens Harnoth Manrubia in the M15 Forbach, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bienvenue Bolangi' if Bienvenue Bolangi advances against Laurens Harnoth Manrubia. This market will resolve to 'Laurens Harnoth Manrubia' if Laurens Harnoth Manrubia advances against Bienvenue Bolangi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Bienvenue Bolangi and Laurens Harnoth Manrubia in the M15 Forbach, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bienvenue Bolangi' if Bienvenue Bolangi advances against Laurens Harnoth Manrubia. This market will resolve to 'Laurens Harnoth Manrubia' if Laurens Harnoth Manrubia advances against Bienvenue Bolangi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Bolangi vs Harnoth match. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bolangi vs Harnoth match, as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market leading up to Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected developments related to the Bolangi vs Harnoth match could significantly shift market sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed participants or shifts in public opinion could also cause noticeable price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest updates will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves.