TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
This market refers to the tennis match between Dominique Rolland and Kivanc Bedir in the M15 Fayetteville, AR, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dominique Rolland' if Dominique Rolland advances against Kivanc Bedir. This market will resolve to 'Kivanc Bedir' if Kivanc Bedir advances against Dominique Rolland. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dominique Rolland and Kivanc Bedir in the M15 Fayetteville, AR, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dominique Rolland' if Dominique Rolland advances against Kivanc Bedir. This market will resolve to 'Kivanc Bedir' if Kivanc Bedir advances against Dominique Rolland. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each venue. If there's a significant difference between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could signal an opportunity for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, reflecting the aggregated predictions of all participants. As more traders share their views, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability of each player winning the Fayetteville M15 tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Fayetteville M15 tennis match between Dominique Rolland and Kivanc Bedir. The winner of the match, as determined by the official tournament organizers, will be the determining factor for settlement. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially confirmed and reported.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated analysis from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the tournament, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders can quickly move the market, especially if they signal new information or a change in perspective.