TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 1:51 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Amaral and Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich in the M15 Curitiba, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Amaral' if Thomas Amaral advances against Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich' if Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich advances against Thomas Amaral. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Amaral and Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich in the M15 Curitiba, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Amaral' if Thomas Amaral advances against Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich' if Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich advances against Thomas Amaral. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and any external factors are indirectly reflected in trading behavior. The current price indicates what the crowd believes is the likelihood of a specific player winning.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of the M15 Curitiba tennis match between Thomas Amaral and Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official tournament results published by the governing tennis body. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result of the match, as reported by these sources.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather affecting an outdoor court), or even updates on player form could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament for either player could also impact the odds. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could cause significant price movements, reflecting new information or a change in perceived probabilities. Monitoring tennis news and the trading activity on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential shifts.