TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
M15 Curitiba: Thiago Horacio Messa vs Guilherme Barbieri Renner
polymarket

What is the result of Thiago Horacio Messa vs Guilherme Barbieri Renner?

Volume:
N/A

M15 Curitiba: Thiago Horacio Messa vs Guilherme Barbieri Renner

 - Polymarket

M15 Curitiba: Thiago Horacio Messa vs Guilherme Barbieri Renner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 20, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 7:34 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

M15 Curitiba: Thiago Horacio Messa vs Guilherme Barbieri Renner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Curitiba: Thiago Horacio Messa vs Guilherme Barbieri Renner Set 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Curitiba: Thiago Horacio Messa vs Guilherme Barbieri Renner Set 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Curitiba: Thiago Horacio Messa vs Guilherme Barbieri Renner Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Curitiba: Thiago Horacio Messa vs Guilherme Barbieri Renner Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Curitiba: Thiago Horacio Messa vs Guilherme Barbieri Renner Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Curitiba: Thiago Horacio Messa vs Guilherme Barbieri Renner Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Curitiba: Thiago Horacio Messa vs Guilherme Barbieri Renner Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Curitiba: Thiago Horacio Messa vs Guilherme Barbieri Renner Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Curitiba: Thiago Horacio Messa vs Guilherme Barbieri Renner Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Curitiba: Thiago Horacio Messa vs Guilherme Barbieri Renner Match O/U 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Curitiba: Thiago Horacio Messa vs Guilherme Barbieri Renner Match O/U 22.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Curitiba: Thiago Horacio Messa vs Guilherme Barbieri Renner Match O/U 23.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Curitiba: Thiago Horacio Messa vs Guilherme Barbieri Renner Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Curitiba: Thiago Horacio Messa vs Guilherme Barbieri Renner Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
94¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 16

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Horacio Messa and Guilherme Barbieri Renner in the M15 Curitiba, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Horacio Messa' if Thiago Horacio Messa advances against Guilherme Barbieri Renner. This market will resolve to 'Guilherme Barbieri Renner' if Guilherme Barbieri Renner advances against Thiago Horacio Messa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Horacio Messa and Guilherme Barbieri Renner in the M15 Curitiba, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Horacio Messa' if Thiago Horacio Messa advances against Guilherme Barbieri Renner. This market will resolve to 'Guilherme Barbieri Renner' if Guilherme Barbieri Renner advances against Thiago Horacio Messa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can trade in a way that shifts the price on Polymarket closer to their collective belief. This can sometimes result in more accurate predictions, as the market aggregates diverse information and insights. However, sportsbook odds can still offer valuable context when analyzing this market.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the M15 Curitiba match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregate sentiment of all participants, constantly adjusting as new information becomes available and traders update their predictions. The current top outcome, as indicated by the highest share price, is the one favored by the market.

This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Curitiba match between Thiago Horacio Messa and Guilherme Barbieri Renner. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equivalent to the final share price, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor for updates as the resolution date approaches.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in related matches or tournaments could also impact the perceived probabilities. Significant trading activity, driven by informed traders or new information, can also cause rapid price movements. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume on Polymarket are key strategies for identifying potential catalysts that could move this market. A shift in public opinion, even without concrete news, can also affect trading behavior.