TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
- Polymarket
Completed Match - Polymarket
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 24, 2026
Closed: Sep 24, 6:54 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Tosetto and Joao Victor Couto Loureiro in the M15 Curitiba, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Tosetto' if Rafael Tosetto advances against Joao Victor Couto Loureiro. This market will resolve to 'Joao Victor Couto Loureiro' if Joao Victor Couto Loureiro advances against Rafael Tosetto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Tosetto and Joao Victor Couto Loureiro in the M15 Curitiba, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Tosetto' if Rafael Tosetto advances against Joao Victor Couto Loureiro. This market will resolve to 'Joao Victor Couto Loureiro' if Joao Victor Couto Loureiro advances against Rafael Tosetto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money flows into the market. Polls and analysts’ predictions for this match may also differ from both sportsbook and prediction market odds, as they represent individual opinions rather than collective forecasts. Analyzing these differences can provide a more nuanced view of the potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Curitiba tennis match between Rafael Tosetto and Joao Victor Couto Loureiro. The platform will verify the winner based on official tournament results and standings. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also cause price fluctuations. Major betting activity from informed traders, or even significant media coverage focusing on one player’s advantage, might also move this market. Monitoring these signals can help you understand how the perceived probability of each player winning is changing.