TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 10:23 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Daiha and Sidney Emanuel Meneguetti in the M15 Curitiba, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Daiha' if Miguel Daiha advances against Sidney Emanuel Meneguetti. This market will resolve to 'Sidney Emanuel Meneguetti' if Sidney Emanuel Meneguetti advances against Miguel Daiha. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Daiha and Sidney Emanuel Meneguetti in the M15 Curitiba, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Daiha' if Miguel Daiha advances against Sidney Emanuel Meneguetti. This market will resolve to 'Sidney Emanuel Meneguetti' if Sidney Emanuel Meneguetti advances against Miguel Daiha. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of an outcome, you may see divergence between the two. It’s common to find that prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook odds, especially when there's substantial public interest and trading volume. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Curitiba tennis match between Miguel Daiha and Sidney Emanuel Meneguetti. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available scores and official tournament results. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament might also impact predictions. Furthermore, large trades by informed bettors or significant media coverage could trigger price movements. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume on Polymarket can provide insights into potential catalysts that might affect the market before Sep 27, 2026.