TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 12:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Manuel Mouilleron Salvo and Luiz Felipe Silva in the M15 Curitiba, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Mouilleron Salvo' if Manuel Mouilleron Salvo advances against Luiz Felipe Silva. This market will resolve to 'Luiz Felipe Silva' if Luiz Felipe Silva advances against Manuel Mouilleron Salvo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Manuel Mouilleron Salvo and Luiz Felipe Silva in the M15 Curitiba, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Mouilleron Salvo' if Manuel Mouilleron Salvo advances against Luiz Felipe Silva. This market will resolve to 'Luiz Felipe Silva' if Luiz Felipe Silva advances against Manuel Mouilleron Salvo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous process where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling shares drives the price down. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event's result. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Luiz Felipe Silva match in Curitiba. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning player. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates or recent match results, could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions at the Curitiba venue might also impact the perceived advantage of either player. Unexpected line movements at major sportsbooks could also prompt traders to reassess their positions. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a shift in sentiment, causing the market to react accordingly.