TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 1:31 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava and Pedro Sakamoto in the M15 Curitiba, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava' if Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava advances against Pedro Sakamoto. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Sakamoto' if Pedro Sakamoto advances against Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava and Pedro Sakamoto in the M15 Curitiba, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava' if Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava advances against Pedro Sakamoto. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Sakamoto' if Pedro Sakamoto advances against Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing system that aggregates diverse opinions into a single, quantifiable probability assessment for the Curitiba tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the match, determining which player emerged victorious. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Sep 29, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated performance statistics could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring these players could also impact confidence levels. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself could create momentum and drive price fluctuations, reflecting a change in collective belief about the likely winner of the Curitiba tennis match.