TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 10:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andre Souza and Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich in the M15 Curitiba, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andre Souza' if Andre Souza advances against Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich' if Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich advances against Andre Souza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andre Souza and Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich in the M15 Curitiba, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andre Souza' if Andre Souza advances against Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich' if Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich advances against Andre Souza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that prediction market traders have access to information or insights not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It's worth noting that prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate than traditional forecasts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. Currently, the most favored outcome, as indicated by the price, is a win for one of the players.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Curitiba tennis match between Andre Souza and Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich. The platform will verify the result against official tournament records and reporting to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even commentary from tennis analysts, could also impact the odds. A significant shift in betting volume on Polymarket would also be a strong signal. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely cause movement in this market.