TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 9:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Alejandro Moreno in the M15 Columbia, SC, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shu Matsuoka' if Shu Matsuoka advances against Alejandro Moreno. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Moreno' if Alejandro Moreno advances against Shu Matsuoka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Matsuoka and Alejandro Moreno in the M15 Columbia, SC, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shu Matsuoka' if Shu Matsuoka advances against Alejandro Moreno. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Moreno' if Alejandro Moreno advances against Shu Matsuoka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the market’s implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to find an equilibrium. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the likelihood of a specific result in the Matsuoka vs Moreno match.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Matsuoka vs Moreno match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning shares. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and verifiable information to ensure a fair and accurate outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants might signal new information or a change in sentiment. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also indirectly influence the market, though the market itself represents a distinct and independent prediction.