TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 2:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Stenzer and Alexander Bernard in the M15 Columbia, SC, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Stenzer' if Max Stenzer advances against Alexander Bernard. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bernard' if Alexander Bernard advances against Max Stenzer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Stenzer and Alexander Bernard in the M15 Columbia, SC, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Stenzer' if Max Stenzer advances against Alexander Bernard. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bernard' if Alexander Bernard advances against Max Stenzer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. If a significant difference exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking and incorporate expectations about future events.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and share their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market is constantly updated with the latest information and sentiment surrounding the Stenzer vs Bernard match. The current price indicates the implied probability of a particular player winning.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Stenzer vs Bernard match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will then determine the winning share(s) and distribute payouts accordingly. It's important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Sep 29, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades from influential participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential opportunities in this market.