TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
- Polymarket
Completed Match - Polymarket
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 23, 2026
Closed: Sep 23, 6:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Manel Lazaro Juncadella and Luis Felipe Miguel in the M15 Columbia, SC, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manel Lazaro Juncadella' if Manel Lazaro Juncadella advances against Luis Felipe Miguel. This market will resolve to 'Luis Felipe Miguel' if Luis Felipe Miguel advances against Manel Lazaro Juncadella. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Manel Lazaro Juncadella and Luis Felipe Miguel in the M15 Columbia, SC, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manel Lazaro Juncadella' if Manel Lazaro Juncadella advances against Luis Felipe Miguel. This market will resolve to 'Luis Felipe Miguel' if Luis Felipe Miguel advances against Manel Lazaro Juncadella. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has more accurate information. It’s important to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of the potential result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective opinion of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a 'yes' share, for example, represents the probability that Manel Lazaro Juncadella will win the match, while a 'no' share reflects the probability of Luis Felipe Miguel winning. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Manel Lazaro Juncadella and Luis Felipe Miguel, as determined by the official tournament organizers. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all traders involved in this market.
Several signals could influence this market before Sep 30, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like court surface or weather), or updates on player form could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant trading volume itself can act as a signal, potentially indicating informed traders are taking positions based on non-public information, causing the odds to adjust accordingly.