TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 5:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tudor Batin and Sebastian Gima in the M15 Buzau, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tudor Batin' if Tudor Batin advances against Sebastian Gima. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gima' if Sebastian Gima advances against Tudor Batin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tudor Batin and Sebastian Gima in the M15 Buzau, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tudor Batin' if Tudor Batin advances against Sebastian Gima. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gima' if Sebastian Gima advances against Tudor Batin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a certain outcome in the Batin vs Gima match, they can express that view through trading, causing the prediction market odds to diverge. It’s common to see differences, especially before significant events or news breaks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Batin vs Gima match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares of a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating in the market.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Buzau match between Tudor Batin and Sebastian Gima. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning player, or if the match ends in a draw. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 9, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected announcements related to either Tudor Batin or Sebastian Gima could significantly shift the odds. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts, or even shifts in betting sentiment observed in other sources, could also impact trading behavior. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in the M15 Buzau tournament, might also cause traders to reassess their positions.