TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 11:47 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriel Sardo and Rares Teodor Pieleanu in the M15 Buzau, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Sardo' if Gabriel Sardo advances against Rares Teodor Pieleanu. This market will resolve to 'Rares Teodor Pieleanu' if Rares Teodor Pieleanu advances against Gabriel Sardo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriel Sardo and Rares Teodor Pieleanu in the M15 Buzau, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Sardo' if Gabriel Sardo advances against Rares Teodor Pieleanu. This market will resolve to 'Rares Teodor Pieleanu' if Rares Teodor Pieleanu advances against Gabriel Sardo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the unique dynamics of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks may set their odds based on analytical models and historical data, prediction markets reflect real-time bets and can shift rapidly with new information or betting patterns. Traders might see different implied probabilities compared to sportsbook favorites, especially as the match approaches. Monitoring both can provide a broader perspective on where public and trader sentiment truly lies.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market accordingly. Traders should watch for confirmed results from reliable sports news sources or tournament officials to know when the market will close and payouts will be processed.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including player injuries, changes in form or performance leading up to the match, weather conditions on the day of the event, and any last-minute tournament updates. News from practice sessions, official tournament announcements, and even betting trends on Polymarket can cause price swings. Traders will likely react to any information that affects the perceived likelihood of each player winning, so staying updated on credible sports coverage is key.