TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 5:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Fermin Tenti and Nicola Rispoli in the M15 Buzau, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fermin Tenti' if Fermin Tenti advances against Nicola Rispoli. This market will resolve to 'Nicola Rispoli' if Nicola Rispoli advances against Fermin Tenti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Fermin Tenti and Nicola Rispoli in the M15 Buzau, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fermin Tenti' if Fermin Tenti advances against Nicola Rispoli. This market will resolve to 'Nicola Rispoli' if Nicola Rispoli advances against Fermin Tenti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn't yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It's a useful comparison for evaluating potential value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The platform facilitates this price discovery process, allowing for dynamic odds based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tenti vs Rispoli match, as declared by the governing tennis authority. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match results to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Unexpected performance in other matches leading up to the event, or even weather forecasts impacting the court surface, could also play a role. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing player statistics will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.