TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 2:52 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vincent Selmeczi and Julian Gawlik in the M15 Budapest, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vincent Selmeczi' if Vincent Selmeczi advances against Julian Gawlik. This market will resolve to 'Julian Gawlik' if Julian Gawlik advances against Vincent Selmeczi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vincent Selmeczi and Julian Gawlik in the M15 Budapest, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vincent Selmeczi' if Vincent Selmeczi advances against Julian Gawlik. This market will resolve to 'Julian Gawlik' if Julian Gawlik advances against Vincent Selmeczi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing system, distinct from fixed-odds betting.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Budapest match between Vincent Selmeczi and Julian Gawlik. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on publicly available and verifiable information regarding the match's completion. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and the outcome is officially recorded. This ensures a transparent and reliable settlement process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 13, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also create volatility. Furthermore, major upsets in other related tournaments or matches involving these players could impact perceived probabilities. Public opinion and expert analysis, while not directly reflected in the market, can also indirectly influence trading activity and therefore the price of shares in this market.