TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 8:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vincent Dullinger and Jure Siftar in the M15 Budapest, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vincent Dullinger' if Vincent Dullinger advances against Jure Siftar. This market will resolve to 'Jure Siftar' if Jure Siftar advances against Vincent Dullinger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vincent Dullinger and Jure Siftar in the M15 Budapest, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vincent Dullinger' if Vincent Dullinger advances against Jure Siftar. This market will resolve to 'Jure Siftar' if Jure Siftar advances against Vincent Dullinger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to news and developments impacting the players involved.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Budapest match between Vincent Dullinger and Jure Siftar. The platform will verify the match result against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result as it approaches the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term volatility. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.