TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 9:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vilmos Krisztian Kovacs and Michele Mecarelli in the M15 Budapest, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vilmos Krisztian Kovacs' if Vilmos Krisztian Kovacs advances against Michele Mecarelli. This market will resolve to 'Michele Mecarelli' if Michele Mecarelli advances against Vilmos Krisztian Kovacs. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vilmos Krisztian Kovacs and Michele Mecarelli in the M15 Budapest, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vilmos Krisztian Kovacs' if Vilmos Krisztian Kovacs advances against Michele Mecarelli. This market will resolve to 'Michele Mecarelli' if Michele Mecarelli advances against Vilmos Krisztian Kovacs. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has more informed traders. It's important to compare these odds to get a broader perspective on the potential result of the Kovacs vs Mecarelli match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in this market, and it's constantly updating based on new information and trading activity related to the Kovacs vs Mecarelli match.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Vilmos Krisztian Kovacs vs Michele Mecarelli match, as determined by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 15, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate new information is being incorporated into the price. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding how the market is evolving as the Kovacs vs Mecarelli match approaches.